Air Force vs San Diego State 11/10/2012

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San Diego State is a solid favorite with a 61% chance to beat Air Force. Adam Muema is projected for 94 rushing yards and a 61% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 39% of simulations where Air Force wins, Connor Dietz averages 1.41 TD passes vs 0.32 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.79 TDs to 0.45 interceptions. Ty MacArthur averages 107 rushing yards and 0.96 rushing TDs when Air Force wins and 96 yards and 0.54 TDs in losses. San Diego State has a 35% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 73% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SDST -9.5
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